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What the Fed Rate Cut Means for Home Buyers
By Josip Rupena
September 20, 2024 • 6 min read
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 0.50 percentage points, reducing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% to 5%, marks the first rate cut since the pandemic. While this cut is intended to stimulate economic growth, it also reflects a shift toward maintaining a balance between inflation control and job creation. This significant move from the Fed indicates not only a focus on stabilizing the economy but also suggests that further cuts may follow to sustain economic momentum.
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate, often referred to as the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks lend to each other overnight. This rate serves as a benchmark for a variety of lending products across different industries, including credit card interest rates, mortgages, and car loans. When the Fed adjusts this rate, it influences the cost of borrowing for consumers and businesses alike. For example, credit card rates typically follow changes in the federal funds rate closely, leading to almost immediate adjustments in interest payments for cardholders. Similarly, mortgage and auto loan rates are impacted, though these tend to respond more gradually, as lenders anticipate and price in changes to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
How Does the Rate Cut Impact Mortgage Rates?
While the rate cut suggests a downward trend for borrowing costs, the direct impact on mortgage rates is not always immediate. Mortgage lenders tend to factor in potential interest rate changes into their offerings well in advance. This means that while the Federal Reserve’s rate cut can contribute to lower borrowing costs, mortgage rates may not drop dramatically in the short term. Lenders must forecast and incorporate future rate cuts to remain competitive, so the current rates already reflect expectations of easing monetary policy.
However, over the next few months, we may see gradual reductions in mortgage rates, which could benefit international investors and first-time homebuyers seeking to capitalize on more favorable financing conditions. It’s important to note that mortgage rates are still relatively high compared to the record lows seen during the pandemic, and it’s unlikely they’ll return to those levels anytime soon.
What Should Investors Do Now?
This rate cut is a relief for many who have been waiting for more favorable conditions to enter the housing market. However, despite the anticipation of additional cuts in the coming months, waiting too long may not work in your favor. While the lower borrowing costs are enticing, mortgage rates are just one factor affecting both buyers and the housing industry. Supply shortages, high demand, and prices that remain above pre-pandemic levels continue to shape the market.
In regions like Florida, for example, there has been some easing in prices, but demand remains consistent. With borrowing costs decreasing, this demand is likely to increase further, especially as more buyers jump into the market. Limited supply may push prices even higher, making it more difficult for those who wait for additional rate cuts to find an affordable home. The result could be a missed opportunity as prices rise beyond the range of many potential buyers.
A balanced approach is essential. Buyers should focus on securing the best possible purchase price, knowing that interest rates are more flexible. This is where the concept of “marry the purchase price and date the interest rate” comes into play. You only pay the purchase price once, and once you've locked that in, you're protected from future price hikes. On the other hand, interest rates can be adjusted over time through refinancing as they fluctuate. By concentrating on getting a good deal on the home itself, buyers can worry less about a temporary rate and more about securing a strong investment for the future.
Ultimately, you risk being priced out of the market by waiting for lower interest rates. It’s important to take a broader look at your financial situation and prioritize long-term value over short-term interest rate fluctuations.
The opinions expressed in the Blog are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product.
Author
Josip Rupena
CEO / Founder at Milo
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